Beware, I am about to venture into dangerous waters. I don’t follow the NBA. I’m not good with numbers. But while reading Mizzo’s interview with Dan LeBatard yesterday at The Starting Five, I was prompted to think about the immense pressure that is being placed on a kid of 22 years. When I was 22, I lived in a basement garden-level apartment with my brother and did the dishes once a week. I had the skills to do better, but nobody, not even my parents, got on me as hard as NBA fans are getting on LeBron.
I wanted to compare LeBron’s first four years with those of Michael Jordan, but Jordan had four years of college and a NCAA championship under his belt by the time he was 22, and it still took him some time to become MICHAEL.
So I’ll be comparing LBJ to his contemporary, Carmelo Anthony, and the most successful straight-out-of high school player to date, Kobe Bryant. I’m using per-game averages from Basketball-Reference.com:
Kobe Bryant
| Season | Age | Games | Minutes | FG% | 3PT% | FT% | TRB | AST | STL | TO | BLK | PTS |
| 96/97 | 18 | 71 | 15.5 | .417 | .375 | .819 | 1.9 | 1.3 | .7 | 1.6 | .3 | 7.6 |
| 97/98 | 19 | 79 | 26.0 | .428 | .341 | .794 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 15.4 |
| 98/99 | 20 | 50 | 37.9 | .465 | .267 | .839 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 19.9 |
| 99/00 | 21 | 66 | 38.2 | .468 | .319 | .821 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 2.8 | .9 | 22.5 |
Carmelo Anthony
| Season | Age | Games | Minutes | FG% | 3PT% | FT% | TRB | AST | STL | TO | BLK | PTS |
| 03/04 | 19 | 82 | 36.5 | .426 | .322 | .777 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 3.0 | .5 | 21.0 |
| 04/05 | 20 | 75 | 34.8 | .431 | .266 | .796 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 20.8 |
| 05/06 | 21 | 80 | 36.8 | .481 | .243 | .808 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 26.5 |
| 06/07 | 22 | 65 | 38.2 | .476 | .268 | .808 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 28.9 |
LeBron James
| Season | Age | Games | Minutes | FG% | 3PT% | FT% | TRB | AST | STL | TO | BLK | PTS |
| 03/04 | 19 | 79 | 39.5 | .417 | .290 | .754 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 3.5 | .7 | 20.9 |
| 04/05 | 20 | 80 | 42.4 | .472 | .351 | .750 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 27.2 |
| 05/06 | 21 | 79 | 42.5 | .480 | .335 | .738 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 31.4 |
| 06/07 | 22 | 78 | 40.9 | .476 | .319 | .698 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 27.3 |
Um, do you see what I see? First of all, Kobe was allowed to grow into his role on a talented team, and finally began to look like the Kobe we know now by the fourth year of his NBA sojourn. ‘Melo and LeBron were putting up those numbers from the jump.
So let’s take Kobe out of the equation. Comparing Anthony and James, we see pretty much the same player, except for a whopping gap in assists going in LeBron’s favor, as well as a superior three point percentage.
Add to that the mpg measure, which has stayed north of 40 if averaged over LeBron’s entire career. The Cavaliers are riding this kid like a pony, and he’s responding like a man instead of a boy. I’m chewing my fingernails just writing this. And LeBron has never fallen prey to the dangers of a pro athlete’s life. Whether you think Kobe’s rape charges were trumped up or Carmelo’s suspension this season was warranted, you can’t deny that LeBron has never put himself in a position to face the music either in court or on the court.
Basically, we should be glad King James is this good already. For him to be on the cusp of the finals as the #1 option on his team is incredible. It’s not wrong for us to want more from him, but to expect it, and excoriate him when he fails to deliver is simply unrealistic. We’re basically punishing him for the league’s failure to be more interesting. Our hopes of caring about the finals rest on him getting there.
We should be yelling at David Stern, not LeBron.
Fantastic piece. As a Cavs diehard, I agree that the media should let the kid and play and not dissect every minute detail of his game.
It just blows me away how much better he is than anyone else his age. Obviously, Melo is close, but LeBron is expected to run the team at such a young age, and he’s basically doing it. To expect him to always make the right decision or do the perfect thing is absurd.
Lebron is just so much fun to watch…That’s my favorite thing about him…can’t wait to see him in that Knicks uniform is two years…
Here is what I see. His #’s at age 20 are better than his #’s at age 22. He gets ripped on because he coasts through games and coasted through the regular season. Imagine if he played hard all the time. They would have to limit his minutes, but his production would be up. There is plenty of room to complain because he’s not actually improving in areas where a lot of players seem to as they get older (FG%, 3pt %, FT %). That being said, he’s uber talented and once he figures it all out the Eastern Conference will be his to own.
The 20 vs. 22 thing is very true, Jack. I have no defense for that. Though I was very tempted to be intellectually dishonest and say “I told you I wasn’t good with numbers and don’t watch the NBA”. In which case you would be perfectly justified in saying “Then why the hell did you write this?”
Jordan was 7 years into his career when he finally conquered the Pistons. Stats-shmats, that was when he truly arrived. LeBron is significantly ahead of the curve. Even if they don’t beat the Pistons this year, LeBron and the Cavs are the heir apparent in the East.
First NBA Finals at 23 or 24 ain’t bad.
Not that I even like him, but if you are going to talk about accomplishments at the age of 22, you can’t exclude Tony Parker.
At the age of 19 he came in and immediately averaged 34 minutes, getting 15.5 ppg and 4 assists. Leading his team to 2 NBA titles by the age of 22, and looking like most likely a 3rd by the age of 24.
Between the quality of his teammates and coming from overseas, the pressure on him has not been nearly as great. That doesn’t diminish his accomplishments by any means, however. Has anyone ever accomplished more at his age?
As far as career accomplishments go, I can’t argue with you, Craig. But to say Parker leads the Spurs seems like a bit of an overstatement. Tim Duncan is clearly Alpha Dog, and I’d be interested to see what Parker could do without him. Still, worthy of being in the conversation, no doubt. Perhaps I can do this again with some overseas players.
Shit, sometimes it’s hard to remember that the dude is still only 22. That is pretty mental.
It’s currently Double-OT and Lebron is absolutely carrying the Cavs…
Sasha Pavlovic sux
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